DAY 1 CONVECTIVE OUTLOOK
NWS STORM PREDICTION CENTER NORMAN OK
0653 PM CST FRI JAN 27 2012
VALID 280100Z - 281200Z
...NO TSTM AREAS FORECAST...
HAVE OPTED TO REMOVE THUNDER PROBABILITIES ACROSS SOUTH FL DUE TO
ONGOING TRENDS WITHIN WEAKENING LARGE SCALE FORCING REGIME. WHILE
00Z SOUNDINGS FROM MFL AND KEY EXHIBIT PLENTIFUL MOISTURE...WEAK
LAPSE RATES AND UNFAVORABLE FORCING SUGGESTS GREATEST THUNDER THREAT
WILL REMAIN OFFSHORE TONIGHT.
ELSEWHERE...VERY STEEP LAPSE RATES HAVE SPREAD SEWD OFF THE NRN HIGH
PLAINS AND SHALLOW CONVECTION HAS EVOLVED WITHIN THIS PLUME OVER WRN
NEB. AN ISOLATED LIGHTNING STRIKE HAS EVEN OCCURRED WITH THIS
ACTIVITY BUT WITH BOUNDARY LAYER COOLING THE PROSPECT FOR
THUNDERSTORMS WILL REMAIN VERY LOW.
..DARROW.. 01/28/2012
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20%
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59
29
48
44
Weather Discussion
Increasing Clouds, Late Rain?
Friday January 27, 2012
Clouds will increase today ahead of a cold front. The cold front will pass through Northwest Arkansas late this afternoon shifting wind around from the northwest. A few showers are possible this evening as moisture pools just behind the front. The better chances for showers will be over southern Missouri this evening. Skies clear late tonight and I expect a sunny weekend. Temperatures will be cool but not cold for the weekend with a warmer day on Sunday. Mild readings return on Monday. Contact me at Rick@weatherrick.com.
